The Kentucky Derby is the very first jewel in the famous Triple Crown, and it’s probably the most prestigious race in the United States, probably the world. It’s been run at Churchill Downs since 1875, and it is really a 1 1/4-mile race run using dirt with a massive purse of $2,000,000, with $1.425 million planning to the winner, plus a bouquet of roses. Let’s take a look at this year’s Kentucky Derby Predictions.
This is one of many deeper three-year-old fields the Derby has observed in a long time, but only it’s possible to visit the winner’s circle on Saturday and that would be the impressive Dortmund, which remains unbeaten.
American Pharoah has won four of his five starts, such as the Grade-1 Arkansas Derby; strangely, his lone non-win came in his first maiden attempt, but American Pharoah has done pretty well despite as all four wins were in graded-stakes events, and three are Grade-1 races. He ought to be right up there in the listing of favorites.
Bolo came in third at the Grade-1 Santa Anita Derby, his second straight graded-stakes race where he finished in the money and he is highly recommended a longshot, but stranger things have happened and he fared decently at Santa Anita.
Carpe Diem won the Grade-1 Blue Grass Stakes and he’s four wins in five starts, and he finished second at the Breeders’Cup Juvenile. Quietly, he’s amassed a solid record and could definitely make a run for the winner’s circle.
Danzig Moon finished second to Carpe Diem at the Blue Grass, his best come from two graded-stakes races, but he needed three tries to break his maiden and he might be out of his element on Saturday.
Dortmund is probably going to get into this race as the favourite and he can be purchased in undefeated after taking the Santa Anita Derby. He’s looked phenomenal in each race and there are a few that feel just like Dortmund still has another gear, which we’re able to see on Saturday.
El Kabeir came in third at the Grade-1 Wood Memorial after winning the Grade-3 Gotham, and has finished in the profit his last six starts, all of which were graded-stakes races. He did well at the Wood, so he could be worth a benefit shot.
Far Right finished second at the Arkansas Derby, and he has finished in the profit eight of nine starts, but he did need three tries to break his maiden. His performance at the Arkansas will need to be better than that, however, to finish in the utmost effective three.
Firing Line won the Grade-3 Sunland Derby in March, but he hasn’t been on the track since, so rust might be a slight issue as several horses raced in April. However, he has shown consistency over his five starts, all of which are wins or runner-ups, so watch on him.
Frosted won these Wood and he’s six link between first or second, but his fourth-place run at the Grade-2 Fountain of Youth Stakes stands apart and which will throw some off.
International Star has won three in a line after taking the Grade-2 Louisiana Derby, and a ninth at the Breeders’Cup Juvenile shouldn’t be a major issue as horses change a great deal from November to May, and he’s won three of four since then. This could be a good and solid value pick.
Itsaknockout finished fourth at the Florida Derby after winning his first three starts, but one was a aiden on his first try and then there clearly was an allowance race. That result will probably be tough to overcome for Itsaknockout, but he may be considered a long, long odds form of horse.
Keen Ice finished fourth at the Louisiana Derby, his third results of fourth or worse, he then has two third-place results and a gain in his maiden. He may be the longest shot of the Kentucky Derby and probably isn’t worth having a flier on.
Materiality might be probably the most intriguing option available as he’s three wins in three starts, but one was a maiden, the next was the non-graded Islamorada, he then won the Florida Derby. Unbeaten is unbeaten and this horse might be considered a late bloomer; don’t be surprised if he shocks the world.
Mr. Z ran third at the Arkansas and he’s finished third in four of his last five starts. His lone win came in his maiden and even though he’s finished in the profit eight of ten starts, he may not need the extra gear needed in a subject like this.
Mubtaahij hails from Ireland and won the Grade-2 UAE Derby, but he may discover that the fields in the United States are much better than overseas and he could maintain way over his directly Saturday.
Ocho Ocho Ocho won his first three starts, then after an eighth at the Grade-2 San Felipe Stakes, then ran third at the Blue Grass. The eighth is really a bit worrying, but this colt will make a function for the top half the field and down the stretch, anything can happen.
Stanford ran second at the Louisiana and the Islamorada, and he is highly recommended a darkhorse as well. He does well against another good horse, but think about a subject of 10-15 with to be able to win? We’ll see on Saturday.
Tencendur came in second at the Wood, his first finish in the profit three starts and that has been on his second maiden try. It would have been a small miracle if this colt were to not only win, but even finish in the money.
Upstart has finished in the top three in every seven of his starts, including five in graded-stakes races and he’s a definite contender to do it again at Churchill Downs. He might be a very good value pick.
War Story rounds out the 20-horse field and he might be a longshot as that is his first Grade-1 event, but he won his maiden and an allowance race, finished second in the Grade-3 Lecomte and the Grade-2 Risen Star, and third at the Louisiana. His results aren’t getting better while the races get tougher.
How It Will Play Out
It’s tough to check past Dortmund if this horse has another gear to access as he’s looked awesome in the past and while this is a very deep field, he is highly recommended the most effective three-year-old in the united states and he’s a Triple Crown contender.
Kentucky Derby Predictions: Dortumd