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NCAA Football BCS Championship Game Pick

BCS National Championship - Florida State v Auburn

Florida State, a heavy favorite in the game due to the play of their Heisman Trophy-winning quarterback, Jameis Winston, their top-ranked scoring defense (10.7 ppg) and the fact that they are the only remaining undefeated team in the nation (they can thank Auburn and Michigan State for that) took the high road to title contention by flying through the ACC unscathed and defeating Duke in the conference championship game, 45-7.

From a statistical perspective, the Tigers are barely in the same league as the Seminoles, but a 12-1 record, a conference championship earned not only by knocking off then-#1 Alabama, but following up the next week with an inspired, 59-42, victory over Missouri to capture the SEC title, Auburn appears to be a team of destiny, to say nothing of the intense desire and playmaking abilities in pressure situations.

Florida State’s approach to the championship game was not quite as dramatic. In fact, most of their games were downright boring, with the offense rolling to huge leads and the defense holding opponents without so much as a score or two.

Everybody knew the Seminoles were good, but just how good they needed to prove. After winning easily at Pitt, 41-13, in their season opener, they blasted non-confrence opponents Nevada and Bethune-Cookman, 62-7 and 54-6, respectively. A struggle ensued at Boston College, the ‘Noles emerging with a hard-fought 48-34 victory.

This game had been sitting on -8 and -8½ for a long time after opening up at -9 but the money came in on the favored Seminoles this weekend and has driven the number up to -10 and what a value play this will be on the Auburn Tigers. We love this play on several angles, one the Heisman Jinx, as Bowl teams with a player who just won the award have gone -16 SU and 0-7 ATS as favorites of 6 or more points when playing a team with a winning percentage of over .900% and Auburn HC Malzahn’s has gone 14-1 SU when coming off a conference game. Auburn +10 is the play.

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