Making picks on the FCS might not be quite as popular as betting on traditional FBS college football, nevertheless the “FCS Kickoff” when Montana takes on North Dakota State, two of the most proud football programs in the second-tier of college football, could become a significant doozy in Week 1 ESPN.
The Grizzlies are never underdogs at home. Ever. In fact, those people who are religious followers of the FCS understand that going into Missoula may as well end up like going into the Horseshoe right now. Teams not named Montana just don’t win in this building.
That said, when you’ve got an FCS team which can legitimately have one of the best 50 collegiate football programs in America lining on another side of the field, you’re going to have work cut out for you.
North Dakota State is favored by 14 points, while the total is incredibly low by college football standards just 46.
The Grizzlies, even against some very tough foes who’ve tried to come calmly to Missoula before, have scored at least 21 points in their home games dating back to the end of the 2012 season when they went just 5-6.
Putting on just 16.5 points in this one against a North Dakota State team that only has 4 returning starters on defense, sets this one up as an over performance.
Not merely did North Dakota State only recreate four returners on defense, but it’s eight starters from last year’s offense include arguably the very best quarterback in the FCS in Carson Wentz.
This isn’t the exact same NDSU defense which held 13 of its 16 teams to 17 points or fewer last season, and the Grizzlies should at least exploit that some.
It isn’t planning to be sufficient to beat the No. 1 team in the FCS, but if nothing else, it must be enough to push this game past the total. College Football Picks week 1 over the posted total.